Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morton wins |
25.8%
±11.8%
|
2.88 | -25.8% |
| Draw |
34.17%
±2.08%
|
3.10 | +5.9% |
| Ayr wins |
40.03%
±12.91%
|
2.25 | -9.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Morton
Ayr
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Morton
Ayr
Shots
8.0
9.6
Shots On Target
2.8
4.4
Corners
4.4
6.2
Fouls
13.5
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Morton
Ayr
Shots
9.0
10.0
Shots On Target
3.7
4.3
Corners
3.8
5.5
Fouls
12.7
14.2
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Morton Wins
4Draws
4Ayr Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ayr Win | 2:1 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Morton Win | 2:1 |
| 28 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
Morton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | St Johnstone | 5:0 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 0:1 | L |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Queens Park | 2:1 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Dunfermline | 1:0 | L |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Ross County | 0:3 | W |
Ayr - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Dunfermline | 2:3 | W |
| 12 Dec 2025 | St Johnstone | 2:4 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Partick | 0:0 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 0:1 | W |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Arbroath | 1:1 | D |