Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins |
47.06%
±14.62%
|
1.94 | -8.7% |
| Draw |
29.39%
±3.79%
|
3.55 | +4.3% |
| Nice wins |
23.55%
±11.15%
|
3.85 | -9.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Toulouse
Nice
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Toulouse
Nice
Shots
11.7
10.1
Shots On Target
3.6
3.9
Corners
4.8
3.9
Fouls
14.7
12.3
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Toulouse
Nice
Shots
13.5
12.4
Shots On Target
3.9
4.1
Corners
5.0
4.9
Fouls
16.0
10.6
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Toulouse Wins
2Draws
4Nice Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Toulouse Win | 0:1 |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 3 Mar 2024 | Toulouse Win | 2:1 |
| 26 Nov 2023 | Nice Win | 1:0 |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | Lens | 0:3 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Paris FC | 0:3 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Strasbourg | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Marseille | 2:2 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Angers | 0:1 | L |
Nice - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Strasbourg | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Lens | 2:0 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Angers | 0:1 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Lorient | 3:1 | L |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Marseille | 1:5 | L |