Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dortmund wins |
71.08%
±11.19%
|
1.26 | -10.8% |
| Draw Top Bet |
19.46%
±5.35%
|
6.63 | +28.9% |
| Paderborn wins |
9.46%
±5.92%
|
9.50 | -10.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Dortmund
Paderborn
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Dortmund
Paderborn
Shots
13.2
13.1
Shots On Target
4.6
4.3
Corners
3.9
4.1
Fouls
11.4
12.8
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Hit On Woodwork
N/A
0.0
Free Kicks Conceded
N/A
0.0
Offsides
N/A
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Dortmund
Paderborn
Shots
16.0
10.0
Shots On Target
11.0
1.0
Corners
8.0
2.0
Fouls
6.0
4.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Dortmund Wins
1Draws
0Paderborn Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 May 2020 | Dortmund Win | 1:6 |
Dortmund - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | SC Paderborn | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Hoffenheim | 2:3 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | TSG Hoffenheim | 2:3 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Hamburg | 2:0 | W |
| 16 May 2026 | Werder Bremen | 0:2 | W |
Paderborn - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Freiburg | 0:1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Mainz | 0:0 | D |
| 17 May 2026 | Darmstadt | 0:2 | W |
| 8 May 2026 | Karlsruhe | 2:2 | D |
| 3 May 2026 | Elversberg | 5:1 | L |