Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle wins |
44.13%
±13.81%
|
1.56 | -31.2% |
| Draw Top Bet |
36.56%
±4.77%
|
4.05 | +48.1% |
| Sutton wins |
19.31%
±9.36%
|
4.80 | -7.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Carlisle
Sutton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Carlisle
Sutton
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Carlisle
Sutton
Shots
12.2
13.0
Shots On Target
3.0
5.0
Corners
5.8
7.2
Fouls
9.5
10.8
Yellow Cards
1.2
1.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Carlisle Wins
0Draws
2Sutton Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Sutton Win | 2:1 |
| 8 May 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 3 Dec 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Sutton Win | 0:2 |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Sutton Win | 4:0 |
Carlisle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | Morecambe | 2:2 | D |
| 3 Apr 2026 | Gateshead | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Braintree Town | 1:2 | W |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Halifax | 0:1 | W |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Boston Utd | 6:2 | W |
Sutton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2026 | Southend | 0:3 | L |
| 3 Apr 2026 | Aldershot | 2:2 | D |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Rochdale | 1:2 | L |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Eastleigh | 0:2 | W |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Truro | 0:3 | L |