Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica wins |
29.43%
±14.11%
|
2.68 | -21.3% |
| Draw |
28.62%
±1.9%
|
3.13 | -10.6% |
| Sp Lisbon wins |
41.95%
±14.85%
|
2.65 | +11.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Benfica
Sp Lisbon
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Benfica
Sp Lisbon
Shots
16.8
19.9
Shots On Target
5.9
6.9
Corners
5.3
7.4
Fouls
11.3
12.4
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Benfica
Sp Lisbon
Shots
12.8
11.7
Shots On Target
4.3
4.4
Corners
6.1
5.0
Fouls
14.4
13.7
Yellow Cards
3.6
3.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Benfica Wins
3Draws
3Sp Lisbon Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 1:0 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 2:1 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Benfica Win | 2:1 |
| 21 May 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Nacional | 1:2 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Casa Pia | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:3 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Arouca | 5:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Porto | 0:0 | D |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 4:0 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:2 | W |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Alverca | 2:0 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Tondela | 0:3 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Sp Braga | 1:1 | D |