Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar
Final Result
3:1
Zwolle to win
Our Prediction
Missed
62%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±12%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zwolle wins |
14.04%
±8.21%
|
5.50 | -22.8% |
| Draw |
23.99%
±4.05%
|
4.42 | +5.9% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
61.98%
±12.05%
|
1.54 | -4.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
8.2
16.3
Shots On Target
3.4
6.7
Corners
2.2
6.5
Fouls
11.2
9.3
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
9.9
16.7
Shots On Target
3.5
6.1
Corners
3.1
6.8
Fouls
12.2
9.7
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Zwolle Wins
1Draws
4AZ Alkmaar Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 9 Feb 2025 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 2:0 |
| 20 Sep 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 1:2 |
| 20 Jan 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 24 Sep 2023 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 0:3 |
Zwolle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Twente | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Excelsior | 2:1 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | For Sittard | 1:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Feyenoord | 6:1 | L |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Heerenveen | 2:1 | W |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Volendam | 1:0 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | For Sittard | 4:3 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:2 | D |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Twente | 1:0 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Heerenveen | 3:1 | L |