Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia wins |
48.6%
±14.95%
|
2.30 | +11.8% |
| Draw |
26.25%
±3.41%
|
3.03 | -20.6% |
| Sampdoria wins |
25.15%
±11.85%
|
3.15 | -20.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Spezia
Sampdoria
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Spezia
Sampdoria
Shots
9.6
14.3
Shots On Target
4.0
3.8
Corners
4.0
5.0
Fouls
15.8
15.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.4
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Spezia
Sampdoria
Shots
11.9
9.4
Shots On Target
4.2
3.3
Corners
5.9
3.6
Fouls
17.0
13.3
Yellow Cards
2.6
3.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Spezia Wins
4Draws
4Sampdoria Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2025 | Spezia Win | 2:0 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 24 Nov 2023 | Sampdoria Win | 2:1 |
| 22 Apr 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Spezia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Mantova | 4:1 | L |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Bari | 1:1 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Monza | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Padova | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Avellino | 0:4 | W |
Sampdoria - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2025 | Juve Stabia | 1:0 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Venezia | 3:1 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Mantova | 0:1 | L |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Empoli | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Frosinone | 1:1 | D |