Hamburg vs RB Leipzig
Final Result
1:2
RB Leipzig to win
Our Prediction
Correct
50.7%
RB Leipzig to win
±13.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins |
21.03%
±10.9%
|
3.25 | -31.7% |
| Draw |
28.23%
±2.97%
|
3.60 | +1.6% |
| RB Leipzig wins |
50.74%
±13.48%
|
2.13 | +7.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamburg
RB Leipzig
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hamburg
RB Leipzig
Shots
13.0
15.6
Shots On Target
5.1
5.5
Corners
4.1
4.3
Fouls
11.4
8.8
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hamburg
RB Leipzig
Shots
15.0
10.0
Shots On Target
3.0
4.0
Corners
5.0
3.0
Fouls
12.0
13.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hamburg Wins
0Draws
0RB Leipzig Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | RB Leipzig Win | 2:1 |
Hamburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | Mainz | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Union Berlin | 3:2 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Heidenheim | 0:2 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Bayern Munich | 2:2 | D |
| 23 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 0:0 | D |
RB Leipzig - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Dortmund | 2:2 | D |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Wolfsburg | 2:2 | D |
| 8 Feb 2026 | FC Koln | 1:2 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Mainz | 1:2 | L |
| 27 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 1:1 | D |