Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga wins |
41.89%
±14.76%
|
2.05 | -14.1% |
| Draw |
26.95%
±2.34%
|
3.25 | -12.4% |
| Ceuta wins |
31.16%
±12.95%
|
3.40 | +6.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Malaga
Ceuta
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Malaga
Ceuta
Shots
13.4
11.9
Shots On Target
5.8
3.9
Corners
4.0
4.3
Fouls
13.2
14.3
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Malaga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Sp Gijon | 1:3 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Almeria | 2:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Albacete | 1:3 | W |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Zaragoza | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Valladolid | 1:1 | D |
Ceuta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Andorra | 2:1 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Sociedad B | 1:3 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Las Palmas | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Granada | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Burgos | 1:0 | W |