Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Mirren wins |
15.99%
±8.79%
|
3.90 | -37.6% |
| Draw |
30.88%
±4.09%
|
3.45 | +6.5% |
| Hearts wins |
53.13%
±12.58%
|
1.88 | -0.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
St Mirren
Hearts
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
St Mirren
Hearts
Shots
12.3
14.4
Shots On Target
3.8
5.5
Corners
5.7
5.5
Fouls
12.0
9.6
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
St Mirren
Hearts
Shots
11.0
11.9
Shots On Target
3.5
4.8
Corners
5.7
5.0
Fouls
12.8
10.1
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
St Mirren Wins
2Draws
3Hearts Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | Hearts Win | 2:0 |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Hearts Win | 3:1 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Hearts Win | 4:0 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | St Mirren Win | 2:1 |
St Mirren - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Dundee | 0:0 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Dundee United | - | - |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Livingston | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Hearts | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Falkirk | 0:2 | L |
Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Dundee United | 0:3 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Celtic | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | St Mirren | 2:0 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Dundee | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Livingston | 1:0 | W |