Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn wins |
45.66%
±15.03%
|
2.27 | +3.8% |
| Draw |
25.09%
±2.65%
|
3.60 | -9.7% |
| Hamburg wins |
29.25%
±12.8%
|
2.79 | -18.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Paderborn
Hamburg
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Paderborn
Hamburg
Shots
13.6
11.9
Shots On Target
3.9
4.2
Corners
4.7
3.4
Fouls
10.7
12.9
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Paderborn
Hamburg
Shots
12.2
15.8
Shots On Target
5.1
6.6
Corners
5.2
6.3
Fouls
10.9
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Paderborn Wins
4Draws
2Hamburg Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2025 | Paderborn Win | 2:0 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 10 May 2024 | Paderborn Win | 1:0 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Paderborn Win | 1:2 |
| 5 May 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Paderborn - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Werder Bremen | - | - |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Stuttgart | 0:2 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Hoffenheim | 3:1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Dortmund | 3:0 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Freiburg | 0:1 | L |
Hamburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Stuttgart | - | - |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Hoffenheim | 2:3 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | FC Koln | 2:1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | RB Leipzig | 5:0 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Mainz | 0:5 | L |