Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia wins |
31.65%
±13.5%
|
3.30 | +4.4% |
| Draw |
28.93%
±1.57%
|
3.15 | -8.9% |
| Modena wins |
39.43%
±13.64%
|
2.23 | -12.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Spezia
Modena
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Spezia
Modena
Shots
10.7
16.8
Shots On Target
4.1
4.6
Corners
4.1
6.3
Fouls
16.1
14.1
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.5
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Spezia
Modena
Shots
12.5
14.2
Shots On Target
2.5
4.2
Corners
4.0
5.8
Fouls
19.2
15.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Spezia Wins
1Draws
3Modena Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Spezia Win | 1:0 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 26 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Spezia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Dec 2025 | Virtus Entella | 0:1 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Sampdoria | 1:0 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Mantova | 4:1 | L |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Bari | 1:1 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Monza | 1:0 | L |
Modena - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Dec 2025 | Catanzaro | 1:2 | L |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Cesena | 1:0 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Sudtirol | 0:0 | D |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Frosinone | 2:2 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Juve Stabia | 3:0 | W |