Sheffield Weds vs Derby
Final Result
0:3
Derby to win
Our Prediction
Correct
41.3%
Derby to win
±13.9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Weds wins |
31.55%
±13.6%
|
3.15 | -0.6% |
| Draw |
27.14%
±1.55%
|
3.23 | -12.5% |
| Derby wins |
41.3%
±13.91%
|
2.25 | -7.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sheffield Weds
Derby
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Sheffield Weds
Derby
Shots
10.3
10.6
Shots On Target
3.2
3.5
Corners
5.1
5.9
Fouls
10.7
12.2
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sheffield Weds
Derby
Shots
11.4
12.3
Shots On Target
4.3
4.7
Corners
4.6
6.3
Fouls
9.7
11.1
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sheffield Weds Wins
4Draws
2Derby Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2025 | Sheffield Weds Win | 4:2 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Sheffield Weds Win | 1:2 |
| 7 May 2023 | Sheffield Weds Win | 1:0 |
| 3 Dec 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 8 May 2021 | Draw | 3:3 |
Sheffield Weds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Dec 2025 | Watford | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Preston | 2:3 | L |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Millwall | 1:0 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Sheffield United | 0:3 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Southampton | 3:1 | L |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | Millwall | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 1:3 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Swansea | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Watford | 2:3 | L |