Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior wins |
26.52%
±12.61%
|
3.45 | -8.5% |
| Draw |
27.88%
±2.06%
|
3.50 | -2.4% |
| Groningen wins |
45.6%
±14.02%
|
2.08 | -5.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Excelsior
Groningen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Excelsior
Groningen
Shots
12.8
16.7
Shots On Target
4.3
6.7
Corners
4.4
6.2
Fouls
14.1
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Excelsior
Groningen
Shots
9.0
14.0
Shots On Target
1.5
6.0
Corners
2.5
4.5
Fouls
11.0
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Excelsior Wins
1Draws
0Groningen Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2023 | Groningen Win | 3:0 |
| 8 Jan 2023 | Excelsior Win | 1:0 |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | NAC Breda | 1:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Ajax | 1:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Heracles | 1:2 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:0 | L |
Groningen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | Ajax | 2:0 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Zwolle | 2:2 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Nijmegen | 2:0 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Twente | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | For Sittard | 1:2 | W |