St Pauli vs Union Berlin
Final Result
0:1
Union Berlin to win
Our Prediction
Correct
34.8%
Union Berlin to win
±13.1%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Pauli wins |
34.09%
±13.71%
|
2.43 | -17.3% |
| Draw |
31.07%
±1.78%
|
3.28 | +1.7% |
| Union Berlin wins |
34.84%
±13.05%
|
2.93 | +1.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
St Pauli
Union Berlin
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
St Pauli
Union Berlin
Shots
11.8
12.3
Shots On Target
4.0
3.5
Corners
5.4
5.3
Fouls
11.8
14.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
St Pauli
Union Berlin
Shots
12.0
12.0
Shots On Target
3.5
3.5
Corners
4.5
6.0
Fouls
8.5
12.5
Yellow Cards
0.5
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
St Pauli Wins
1Draws
0Union Berlin Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2025 | St Pauli Win | 3:0 |
| 30 Aug 2024 | Union Berlin Win | 1:0 |
St Pauli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Freiburg | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:4 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Hoffenheim | 0:3 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1:0 | L |
Union Berlin - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Bayern Munich | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Freiburg | 0:0 | D |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1:0 | L |
| 17 Oct 2025 | M'gladbach | 3:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Leverkusen | 2:0 | L |