Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| QPR wins |
53.85%
±14.42%
|
1.65 | -11.2% |
| Draw |
25.39%
±4.18%
|
3.90 | -1.1% |
| Derby wins Top Bet |
20.76%
±10.48%
|
4.83 | +0.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
QPR
Derby
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
QPR
Derby
Shots
15.5
12.0
Shots On Target
4.9
3.7
Corners
5.7
5.8
Fouls
9.5
13.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
QPR
Derby
Shots
13.0
9.8
Shots On Target
4.7
2.9
Corners
6.4
5.0
Fouls
11.4
10.3
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
QPR Wins
5Draws
0Derby Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Derby Win | 2:3 |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Derby Win | 1:0 |
| 14 Feb 2025 | QPR Win | 4:0 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Derby Win | 2:0 |
| 18 Apr 2022 | QPR Win | 1:0 |
QPR - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | West Ham | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Preston | 2:2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | West Brom | 1:1 | D |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Charlton | 0:0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Middlesbrough | 0:1 | L |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Wrexham | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Burnley | 1:1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Birmingham | 1:2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Birmingham City | - | - |
| 9 Sep 2026 | West Brom | 0:1 | L |