La Liga Segunda Division 14 Dec 2025 12:30 Match Finished

Almeria vs Burgos

Final Result

1:2

Burgos to win

Rating Change

Almeria -0.7
Burgos -0.7
Our Prediction Missed
58.7% Almeria to win

±13.9%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Almeria wins
58.72% ±13.91%
1.71 +0.1%
Draw
23.71% ±4.61%
3.45 -18.2%
Burgos wins
17.58% ±9.47%
4.55 -20.0%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Almeria
Burgos

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Almeria
Burgos
Shots 15.0 9.0
Shots On Target 6.3 2.4
Corners 5.2 4.4
Fouls 13.7 14.7
Yellow Cards 2.5 3.3
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Almeria
Burgos
Shots 14.2 11.5
Shots On Target 5.5 5.2
Corners 4.8 3.8
Fouls 14.8 11.0
Yellow Cards 3.5 3.5
Red Cards 0.2 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Almeria Wins

3

Draws

0

Burgos Wins

1
Date Result Score
21 Mar 2025 Burgos Win 3:1
5 Oct 2024 Almeria Win 2:0
30 Apr 2022 Almeria Win 0:2
7 Nov 2021 Almeria Win 2:0

Almeria - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
6 Dec 2025 Andorra 1:2 W
29 Nov 2025 Huesca 0:0 D
26 Nov 2025 Ceuta 3:2 L
22 Nov 2025 Leganes 0:3 W
16 Nov 2025 Cadiz 3:0 W

Burgos - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
8 Dec 2025 Albacete 0:1 L
29 Nov 2025 Ceuta 1:0 L
23 Nov 2025 Santander 0:2 L
16 Nov 2025 Mirandes 0:2 W
10 Nov 2025 Castellon 0:0 D