Middlesbrough vs Birmingham
Final Result
2:1
Middlesbrough to win
Our Prediction
Correct
38.7%
Middlesbrough to win
±14.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins |
38.73%
±14.26%
|
2.58 | -0.3% |
| Draw |
30.26%
±2.31%
|
3.23 | -2.4% |
| Birmingham wins |
31%
±12.58%
|
2.72 | -15.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Shots
13.3
14.5
Shots On Target
3.7
3.9
Corners
4.9
5.8
Fouls
8.7
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Shots
12.3
8.7
Shots On Target
4.6
2.1
Corners
6.8
4.0
Fouls
9.6
13.2
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Middlesbrough Wins
6Draws
1Birmingham Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2024 | Middlesbrough Win | 0:1 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Middlesbrough Win | 1:0 |
| 2 Jan 2023 | Middlesbrough Win | 1:3 |
| 5 Oct 2022 | Middlesbrough Win | 1:0 |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Middlesbrough Win | 0:2 |
Middlesbrough - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | Leicester | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Watford | 3:0 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Wrexham | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Oct 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 0:1 | W |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Ipswich | 2:1 | W |
Birmingham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | Millwall | 4:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Portsmouth | 4:0 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Bristol City | 1:0 | L |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Preston | 0:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Hull | 2:3 | L |