Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins |
47.81%
±14.64%
|
1.79 | -14.4% |
| Draw |
28.37%
±3.71%
|
3.55 | +0.7% |
| Luton wins |
23.82%
±11.25%
|
3.95 | -5.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Cardiff
Luton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Cardiff
Luton
Shots
14.1
13.1
Shots On Target
4.8
4.2
Corners
6.0
4.9
Fouls
9.2
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Cardiff
Luton
Shots
13.3
11.4
Shots On Target
3.8
3.1
Corners
5.8
5.2
Fouls
11.0
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Cardiff Wins
5Draws
0Luton Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Cardiff Win | 0:1 |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Luton Win | 1:2 |
| 6 Nov 2024 | Luton Win | 1:0 |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Luton Win | 1:0 |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Luton Win | 1:2 |
Cardiff - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Rotherham | 0:3 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Burton | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Barnsley | 4:0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Stockport | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Bradford | 1:2 | W |
Luton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bradford | 2:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Blackpool | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Plymouth | 1:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Lincoln | 2:2 | D |