Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nijmegen wins |
47.28%
±14.73%
|
1.73 | -18.4% |
| Draw |
27.69%
±3.44%
|
4.00 | +10.8% |
| Utrecht wins |
25.03%
±11.65%
|
4.54 | +13.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nijmegen
Utrecht
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Nijmegen
Utrecht
Shots
15.9
14.5
Shots On Target
6.9
4.9
Corners
5.7
5.4
Fouls
11.2
11.1
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nijmegen
Utrecht
Shots
12.4
14.8
Shots On Target
4.4
5.3
Corners
3.9
5.8
Fouls
10.6
11.3
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nijmegen Wins
2Draws
2Utrecht Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Utrecht Win | 1:0 |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Nijmegen Win | 0:1 |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Utrecht Win | 1:2 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Utrecht Win | 1:0 |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Nijmegen Win | 3:0 |
Nijmegen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Heracles | 4:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | 1:3 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Zwolle | 2:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | NAC Breda | 3:4 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Ajax | 2:2 | D |
Utrecht - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Feyenoord | 0:1 | L |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Heerenveen | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0:1 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Volendam | 2:1 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 1:2 | L |