Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Ave wins |
38.75%
±14.96%
|
2.48 | -4.1% |
| Draw |
27.87%
±2.02%
|
3.25 | -9.4% |
| Arouca wins |
33.37%
±13.67%
|
2.73 | -9.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Rio Ave
Arouca
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Rio Ave
Arouca
Shots
8.5
10.8
Shots On Target
3.5
3.2
Corners
4.0
4.2
Fouls
11.7
12.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
3.1
Red Cards
0.3
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Rio Ave
Arouca
Shots
10.9
14.0
Shots On Target
4.7
3.6
Corners
4.0
6.1
Fouls
14.7
14.9
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Rio Ave Wins
3Draws
4Arouca Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 10 Feb 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 1 Sep 2024 | Rio Ave Win | 1:0 |
| 19 Apr 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 10 Dec 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Rio Ave - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Nacional | 4:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 0:2 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Casa Pia | 3:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 4:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | AVS | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 3:1 | L |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 0:0 | D |