Alaves vs Ath Madrid
Final Result
1:2
Ath Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Correct
52.8%
Ath Madrid to win
±13%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves wins Top Bet |
18.63%
±9.92%
|
4.35 | -19.0% |
| Draw |
28.56%
±3.45%
|
3.79 | +8.1% |
| Ath Madrid wins |
52.8%
±13.05%
|
1.80 | -5.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alaves
Ath Madrid
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Alaves
Ath Madrid
Shots
11.8
16.1
Shots On Target
4.7
5.9
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
N/A
Corners
4.4
5.9
Fouls
12.0
11.7
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
N/A
Offsides
0.0
N/A
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Alaves
Ath Madrid
Shots
6.6
13.2
Shots On Target
1.5
5.2
Corners
2.4
6.1
Fouls
13.6
13.3
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Alaves Wins
2Draws
2Ath Madrid Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Ath Madrid Win | 1:0 |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 3 May 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Ath Madrid Win | 2:1 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Alaves Win | 2:0 |
Alaves - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Ath Bilbao | 0:0 | D |
| 15 Sep 2026 | Valencia | 0:1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Santander | 2:1 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Osasuna | 5:2 | W |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Villarreal | 1:0 | W |
Ath Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Real Madrid | 2:1 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Osasuna | 4:0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Sociedad | 0:3 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Ath Bilbao | 3:0 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Sevilla | 1:3 | W |