Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
37.3%
±14.13%
|
2.48 | -7.7% |
| Draw |
29.91%
±2.01%
|
3.08 | -8.0% |
| Millwall wins |
32.79%
±12.88%
|
2.98 | -2.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
Millwall
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
Millwall
Shots
9.9
12.2
Shots On Target
3.2
4.9
Corners
6.0
5.5
Fouls
12.5
12.3
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
Millwall
Shots
11.0
10.7
Shots On Target
2.9
3.6
Corners
4.3
4.3
Fouls
10.7
11.4
Yellow Cards
1.6
0.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
2Draws
2Millwall Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2025 | Millwall Win | 0:1 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Millwall Win | 1:2 |
| 6 Nov 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Millwall Win | 0:1 |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 1:3 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Swansea | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Watford | 2:3 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Blackburn | 1:2 | W |
Millwall - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Bristol City | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Southampton | 3:2 | W |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 1:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Portsmouth | 3:1 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Preston | 1:1 | D |