Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins |
45.96%
±14.82%
|
1.73 | -20.5% |
| Draw |
28.19%
±3.31%
|
3.90 | +10.0% |
| Lazio wins |
25.84%
±11.88%
|
4.55 | +17.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Atalanta
Lazio
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Atalanta
Lazio
Shots
14.7
11.5
Shots On Target
4.7
3.7
Corners
5.5
3.5
Fouls
10.3
12.3
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Atalanta
Lazio
Shots
12.7
10.3
Shots On Target
4.7
4.4
Corners
5.4
3.5
Fouls
12.9
12.2
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Atalanta Wins
3Draws
3Lazio Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2025 | Lazio Win | 0:1 |
| 28 Dec 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 4 Feb 2024 | Atalanta Win | 3:1 |
| 8 Oct 2023 | Lazio Win | 3:2 |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Atalanta Win | 0:2 |
Atalanta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Como | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Juventus | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Torino | 0:3 | W |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Lecce | 4:1 | W |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Parma | 1:1 | D |
Lazio - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Torino | 3:3 | D |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Genoa | 0:3 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Roma | 0:1 | L |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Sassuolo | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Verona | 4:0 | W |