Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia wins |
5.85%
±4.09%
|
11.00 | -35.6% |
| Draw |
20.76%
±5.3%
|
5.25 | +9.0% |
| Porto wins |
73.39%
±9.3%
|
1.27 | -7.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Casa Pia
Porto
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Casa Pia
Porto
Shots
7.7
13.7
Shots On Target
2.8
5.2
Corners
3.9
4.6
Fouls
15.7
13.5
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Casa Pia
Porto
Shots
7.5
18.8
Shots On Target
2.0
7.3
Corners
4.2
7.0
Fouls
11.5
11.7
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Casa Pia Wins
0Draws
1Porto Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2025 | Porto Win | 4:0 |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Porto Win | 0:1 |
| 2 Dec 2024 | Porto Win | 2:0 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Porto Win | 1:2 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Porto Win | 3:1 |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | AVS | 3:3 | D |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 3:0 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 3:1 | L |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Tondela | 1:2 | W |
Porto - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | Gil Vicente | 3:0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | AVS | 2:0 | W |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 0:3 | W |