Real Madrid vs Barcelona
Final Result
2:1
Real Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Missed
38.2%
Barcelona to win
±14.9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins |
35.06%
±15.32%
|
2.00 | -29.9% |
| Draw |
26.71%
±1.72%
|
4.10 | +9.5% |
| Barcelona wins |
38.23%
±14.85%
|
3.20 | +22.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Shots
19.1
21.1
Shots On Target
6.9
8.6
Corners
5.1
7.4
Fouls
9.9
9.1
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Shots
12.1
14.6
Shots On Target
4.9
5.2
Corners
4.6
5.3
Fouls
12.9
13.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Real Madrid Wins
6Draws
0Barcelona Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2025 | Barcelona Win | 4:3 |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Barcelona Win | 0:4 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Real Madrid Win | 3:2 |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Real Madrid Win | 1:2 |
| 19 Mar 2023 | Barcelona Win | 2:1 |
Real Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Getafe | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Villarreal | 3:1 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Ath Madrid | 5:2 | L |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Levante | 1:4 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Espanol | 2:0 | W |
Barcelona - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Girona | 2:1 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Sevilla | 4:1 | L |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Sociedad | 2:1 | W |
| 25 Sep 2025 | Oviedo | 1:3 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Getafe | 3:0 | W |