Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr wins |
51.6%
±13.89%
|
1.65 | -14.6% |
| Draw |
30.13%
±4.88%
|
3.50 | +5.5% |
| Arbroath wins |
18.27%
±9.24%
|
4.42 | -19.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ayr
Arbroath
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Ayr
Arbroath
Shots
11.0
9.2
Shots On Target
4.7
3.3
Corners
6.2
5.2
Fouls
11.4
11.1
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ayr
Arbroath
Shots
11.0
8.1
Shots On Target
3.6
3.0
Corners
5.6
4.7
Fouls
11.4
9.8
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ayr Wins
3Draws
4Arbroath Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Ayr Win | 5:0 |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Ayr Win | 2:0 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Arbroath Win | 2:1 |
Ayr - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Ross County | 3:3 | D |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Dunfermline | 0:1 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Queens Park | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Partick | 2:1 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Morton | 2:1 | W |
Arbroath - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Morton | 1:0 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Ross County | 3:0 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 1:0 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | St Johnstone | 3:1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Queens Park | 4:1 | W |