Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
45.78%
±14.55%
|
2.13 | -2.7% |
| Draw |
28.97%
±3.41%
|
3.28 | -5.1% |
| Blackburn wins |
25.25%
±11.49%
|
3.35 | -15.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
Blackburn
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
Blackburn
Shots
11.8
10.2
Shots On Target
3.9
3.3
Corners
4.2
5.0
Fouls
12.5
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.3
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
Blackburn
Shots
11.2
12.6
Shots On Target
4.6
5.5
Corners
4.2
5.5
Fouls
11.2
11.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
3Draws
0Blackburn Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Derby Win | 1:2 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Derby Win | 2:1 |
| 9 Aug 2024 | Blackburn Win | 4:2 |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Blackburn Win | 3:1 |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Blackburn Win | 1:2 |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | Hull | 4:2 | L |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Watford | 2:0 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Swansea | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Ipswich | 1:2 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Bristol City | 0:5 | W |
Blackburn - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | Bristol City | 1:2 | L |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Preston | 1:0 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | QPR | 1:3 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Norwich | 2:0 | L |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Sheffield Weds | 1:0 | W |