English Championship 28 Feb 2026 07:30 Match Finished

Derby vs Blackburn

Final Result

3:1

Derby to win

Rating Change

Derby +4.7
Blackburn +1.2
Our Prediction Correct
45.8% Derby to win

±14.5%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Derby wins
45.78% ±14.55%
2.13 -2.7%
Draw
28.97% ±3.41%
3.28 -5.1%
Blackburn wins
25.25% ±11.49%
3.35 -15.4%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Derby
Blackburn

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Derby
Blackburn
Shots 11.8 10.2
Shots On Target 3.9 3.3
Corners 4.2 5.0
Fouls 12.5 11.3
Yellow Cards 2.0 2.3
Red Cards 0.2 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Derby
Blackburn
Shots 11.2 12.6
Shots On Target 4.6 5.5
Corners 4.2 5.5
Fouls 11.2 11.4
Yellow Cards 2.1 2.4
Red Cards 0.0 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Derby Wins

3

Draws

0

Blackburn Wins

5
Date Result Score
8 Nov 2025 Derby Win 1:2
8 Mar 2025 Derby Win 2:1
9 Aug 2024 Blackburn Win 4:2
15 Mar 2022 Blackburn Win 3:1
30 Oct 2021 Blackburn Win 1:2

Derby - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
24 Feb 2026 Hull 4:2 L
21 Feb 2026 Watford 2:0 L
14 Feb 2026 Swansea 2:0 W
7 Feb 2026 Ipswich 1:2 L
30 Jan 2026 Bristol City 0:5 W

Blackburn - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
24 Feb 2026 Bristol City 1:2 L
20 Feb 2026 Preston 1:0 W
14 Feb 2026 QPR 1:3 W
7 Feb 2026 Norwich 2:0 L
3 Feb 2026 Sheffield Weds 1:0 W