Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins |
29.57%
±13.17%
|
3.00 | -11.3% |
| Draw |
30.77%
±1.7%
|
3.30 | +1.6% |
| Toulouse wins |
39.66%
±13.63%
|
2.35 | -6.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lorient
Toulouse
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lorient
Toulouse
Shots
11.9
13.5
Shots On Target
4.1
4.2
Corners
3.2
4.9
Fouls
10.6
13.9
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lorient
Toulouse
Shots
12.2
13.5
Shots On Target
3.8
5.8
Corners
4.2
3.5
Fouls
11.8
14.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lorient Wins
0Draws
2Toulouse Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2024 | Toulouse Win | 1:2 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 23 Apr 2023 | Toulouse Win | 0:1 |
| 21 Aug 2022 | Draw | 2:2 |
Lorient - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Lens | 3:0 | L |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Paris SG | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Angers | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Brest | 3:3 | D |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Paris FC | 2:0 | L |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Le Havre | 0:0 | D |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Rennes | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Monaco | 1:0 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Metz | 4:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Lyon | 1:2 | W |