Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford wins |
48.01%
±14.86%
|
1.82 | -12.6% |
| Draw |
26.66%
±3.39%
|
3.55 | -5.3% |
| Burton wins Top Bet |
25.32%
±11.79%
|
4.05 | +2.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Oxford
Burton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Oxford
Burton
Shots
12.4
11.5
Shots On Target
4.1
4.2
Corners
5.2
2.5
Fouls
13.5
13.5
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Oxford
Burton
Shots
17.3
10.6
Shots On Target
7.0
2.7
Corners
5.1
6.0
Fouls
8.7
12.3
Yellow Cards
0.7
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Oxford Wins
7Draws
1Burton Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2024 | Oxford Win | 0:4 |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Oxford Win | 3:0 |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Burton Win | 2:0 |
| 3 Sep 2022 | Oxford Win | 2:1 |
| 5 Mar 2022 | Oxford Win | 4:1 |
Oxford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Leicester | 0:4 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Huddersfield | 3:1 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Stevenage | 1:2 | W |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2:2 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Millwall | 2:0 | L |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Oxford United | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Cambridge | 2:2 | D |
| 2 Sep 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 4:1 | W |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Wimbledon | 4:1 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Notts County | 2:1 | L |