Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins |
62.18%
±13.51%
|
1.55 | -3.9% |
| Draw |
22.65%
±5.01%
|
4.05 | -8.3% |
| Exeter wins |
15.16%
±8.64%
|
5.38 | -18.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Cardiff
Exeter
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Cardiff
Exeter
Shots
14.3
10.1
Shots On Target
5.7
3.3
Corners
4.5
4.6
Fouls
9.2
12.1
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Cardiff - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Lincoln | 2:1 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Doncaster | 4:3 | W |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Stevenage | 0:1 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Huddersfield | 3:2 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Mansfield | 3:0 | W |
Exeter - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Barnsley | 3:0 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Bolton | 2:1 | L |
| 9 Dec 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Bradford | 1:0 | L |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Leyton Orient | 2:1 | L |