Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon wins |
38.56%
±14.41%
|
2.20 | -15.2% |
| Draw |
28.92%
±2.09%
|
3.45 | -0.2% |
| Grimsby wins |
32.52%
±13.01%
|
2.98 | -3.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Swindon
Grimsby
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Swindon
Grimsby
Shots
12.4
14.2
Shots On Target
4.7
5.3
Corners
5.6
5.5
Fouls
11.2
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Swindon
Grimsby
Shots
14.3
11.0
Shots On Target
5.0
4.0
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
5.4
4.3
Fouls
11.0
12.3
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Swindon Wins
6Draws
0Grimsby Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2025 | Swindon Win | 0:4 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Swindon Win | 3:1 |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Grimsby Win | 2:0 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Swindon Win | 2:1 |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Swindon Win | 5:0 |
Swindon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 1:1 | D |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Tranmere | 2:1 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Colchester | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Notts County | 2:2 | D |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Accrington | 4:0 | L |
Grimsby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | Chesterfield | 0:1 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Barrow | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Crewe | 3:2 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Gillingham | 1:0 | W |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Colchester | 1:2 | L |