Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins |
40.56%
±14.51%
|
2.00 | -18.9% |
| Draw |
29.38%
±2.53%
|
3.78 | +10.9% |
| Lyon wins |
30.06%
±12.54%
|
3.40 | +2.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Monaco
Lyon
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Monaco
Lyon
Shots
14.1
13.1
Shots On Target
4.8
4.4
Corners
4.2
6.7
Fouls
13.0
13.1
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.8
Red Cards
0.3
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Monaco
Lyon
Shots
13.7
14.3
Shots On Target
4.9
5.3
Corners
5.3
2.8
Fouls
13.9
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Monaco Wins
4Draws
0Lyon Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2025 | Monaco Win | 2:0 |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Monaco Win | 0:2 |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Lyon Win | 3:2 |
| 15 Dec 2023 | Lyon Win | 0:1 |
| 19 May 2023 | Lyon Win | 3:1 |
Monaco - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Marseille | 1:0 | L |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Brest | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Paris SG | 1:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Rennes | 4:1 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Lens | 1:4 | L |
Lyon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Le Havre | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Lorient | 1:0 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Nantes | 3:0 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Auxerre | 0:0 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Paris SG | 2:3 | L |