Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins |
52.72%
±14.25%
|
1.71 | -9.6% |
| Draw |
27.67%
±4.53%
|
4.00 | +10.7% |
| Brentford wins |
19.61%
±9.96%
|
4.63 | -9.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Chelsea
Brentford
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Chelsea
Brentford
Shots
13.4
9.9
Shots On Target
3.9
4.0
Corners
5.3
4.4
Fouls
11.4
9.5
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Chelsea
Brentford
Shots
16.9
10.6
Shots On Target
5.0
4.3
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
6.7
3.8
Fouls
9.3
9.9
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Chelsea Wins
2Draws
4Brentford Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Chelsea Win | 2:1 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Brentford Win | 0:2 |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Man City | 1:1 | D |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 1:2 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 2:2 | D |
Brentford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Sunderland | 3:0 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Everton | 2:4 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Tottenham | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 4:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Wolves | 0:2 | W |