Holstein Kiel vs Greuther Furth
Final Result
1:2
Greuther Furth to win
Our Prediction
Missed
61.2%
Holstein Kiel to win
±13.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel wins |
61.24%
±13.6%
|
1.69 | +3.5% |
| Draw |
21.39%
±4.35%
|
3.83 | -18.2% |
| Greuther Furth wins |
17.37%
±9.4%
|
4.80 | -16.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Holstein Kiel
Greuther Furth
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Holstein Kiel
Greuther Furth
Shots
11.8
11.2
Shots On Target
3.4
3.7
Corners
5.2
4.0
Fouls
12.9
11.6
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.2
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Holstein Kiel
Greuther Furth
Shots
11.9
16.9
Shots On Target
3.9
4.9
Corners
5.8
6.6
Fouls
12.6
12.1
Yellow Cards
3.1
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Holstein Kiel Wins
3Draws
2Greuther Furth Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2025 | Holstein Kiel Win | 0:2 |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Greuther Furth Win | 2:1 |
| 5 Aug 2023 | Holstein Kiel Win | 2:1 |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Holstein Kiel Win | 2:1 |
| 16 Jul 2022 | Draw | 2:2 |
Holstein Kiel - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan 2026 | Bielefeld | 2:2 | D |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Paderborn | 2:0 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Dresden | 2:1 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Magdeburg | 3:3 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Braunschweig | 1:1 | D |
Greuther Furth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Braunschweig | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Dresden | 2:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2:1 | L |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Hertha | 3:3 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Nurnberg | 2:2 | D |