Stoke vs Southampton
Final Result
0:2
Southampton to win
Our Prediction
Correct
35.8%
Southampton to win
±13.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins |
35.35%
±13.93%
|
2.83 | -0.1% |
| Draw |
28.82%
±1.69%
|
3.45 | -0.6% |
| Southampton wins |
35.83%
±13.28%
|
2.35 | -15.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Stoke
Southampton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Stoke
Southampton
Shots
9.7
14.6
Shots On Target
3.1
4.6
Corners
5.7
5.3
Fouls
11.1
10.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Stoke
Southampton
Shots
14.0
13.7
Shots On Target
4.7
3.0
Corners
6.0
7.0
Fouls
14.3
4.0
Yellow Cards
2.7
1.3
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Stoke Wins
2Draws
0Southampton Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Stoke Win | 1:2 |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Stoke Win | 0:1 |
| 3 Oct 2023 | Southampton Win | 0:1 |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Birmingham | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | QPR | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Norwich | 0:2 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Hull | 0:1 | W |
Southampton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Portsmouth | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Sheffield United | 1:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Hull | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Middlesbrough | 4:0 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Millwall | 0:0 | D |