English League One 7 Mar 2026 10:00 Match Finished

Burton vs Stevenage

Final Result

0:1

Stevenage to win

Rating Change

Burton +2.4
Stevenage +0.5
Our Prediction Missed
35% Burton to win

±13.9%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Burton wins
34.99% ±13.87%
2.61 -8.7%
Draw
31.13% ±1.85%
3.20 -0.4%
Stevenage wins
33.88% ±12.97%
2.59 -12.4%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Burton
Stevenage

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Burton
Stevenage
Shots 10.8 11.4
Shots On Target 3.2 4.5
Corners 6.6 4.8
Fouls 11.4 11.9
Yellow Cards 1.6 2.2
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Burton
Stevenage
Shots 8.0 13.6
Shots On Target 3.2 4.4
Corners 3.0 6.6
Fouls 14.0 9.6
Yellow Cards 2.6 2.0
Red Cards 0.2 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Burton Wins

2

Draws

2

Stevenage Wins

1
Date Result Score
20 Dec 2025 Draw 2:2
18 Feb 2025 Burton Win 0:1
24 Aug 2024 Draw 0:0
13 Apr 2024 Burton Win 1:2
9 Dec 2023 Stevenage Win 1:2

Burton - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
3 Mar 2026 Exeter 1:1 D
28 Feb 2026 Wycombe 3:0 L
24 Feb 2026 Stockport 3:0 W
21 Feb 2026 Luton 1:1 D
17 Feb 2026 Rotherham 1:0 W

Stevenage - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
28 Feb 2026 Stockport 2:1 W
21 Feb 2026 Wycombe 3:1 L
17 Feb 2026 Port Vale 2:1 W
14 Feb 2026 Huddersfield 1:0 W
7 Feb 2026 Northampton 3:1 L