Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca wins |
44.89%
±15.1%
|
2.08 | -6.9% |
| Draw |
28.03%
±3.16%
|
3.15 | -11.7% |
| Estrela wins |
27.08%
±12.36%
|
3.60 | -2.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alverca
Estrela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Alverca
Estrela
Shots
9.6
10.1
Shots On Target
3.4
3.7
Corners
3.8
2.4
Fouls
12.3
15.9
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Alverca
Estrela
Shots
6.0
19.0
Shots On Target
2.0
6.0
Corners
2.0
6.0
Fouls
24.0
18.0
Yellow Cards
5.0
4.0
Red Cards
1.0
1.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Alverca Wins
0Draws
1Estrela Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 5:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Moreirense | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Famalicao | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 4:1 | L |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Porto | 0:3 | L |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 4:0 | L |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 0:5 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 3:3 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 2:3 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Moreirense | 0:0 | D |