Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG wins |
65.6%
±12.55%
|
1.37 | -10.0% |
| Draw |
22.11%
±5.37%
|
5.25 | +16.0% |
| Lyon wins Top Bet |
12.29%
±7.31%
|
6.49 | -20.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Paris SG
Lyon
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Paris SG
Lyon
Shots
16.3
14.6
Shots On Target
5.4
5.1
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
N/A
Corners
4.4
7.1
Fouls
5.2
11.1
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
N/A
Offsides
0.0
N/A
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Paris SG
Lyon
Shots
15.6
11.6
Shots On Target
5.9
4.6
Corners
6.3
4.3
Fouls
8.7
12.4
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Paris SG Wins
7Draws
1Lyon Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Lyon Win | 1:2 |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Paris SG Win | 2:3 |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Paris SG Win | 2:3 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Paris SG Win | 3:1 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Paris SG Win | 4:1 |
Paris SG - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Strasbourg | - | - |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Le Mans | 3:1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Marseille | 1:2 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Brest | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Monaco | 1:2 | L |
Lyon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Nice | - | - |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Lens | 2:1 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Rennes | 4:0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Paris FC | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Auxerre | 3:1 | W |