Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Castellon wins |
69.32%
±11.86%
|
1.21 | -15.9% |
| Draw |
19%
±4.91%
|
6.40 | +21.6% |
| Ceuta wins Top Bet |
11.68%
±7.06%
|
10.25 | +19.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Castellon
Ceuta
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Castellon
Ceuta
Shots
16.0
12.2
Shots On Target
6.2
3.6
Corners
5.9
4.9
Fouls
11.7
15.0
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Castellon
Ceuta
Shots
16.5
9.0
Shots On Target
6.0
4.5
Corners
8.0
6.0
Fouls
13.0
13.5
Yellow Cards
2.5
4.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Castellon Wins
0Draws
2Ceuta Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Draw | 3:3 |
Castellon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | Leganes | 0:2 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Tenerife | 5:0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Girona | 1:2 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Albacete | 2:0 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Celta B | 1:2 | W |
Ceuta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Sociedad B | 3:1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Valladolid | 1:1 | D |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Burgos | 3:1 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Celta B | 0:2 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Mallorca | 3:0 | L |