La Liga Primera Division 21 Feb 2026 12:30 Match Finished

Osasuna vs Real Madrid

Our Prediction Missed
65.3% Real Madrid to win

±11.2%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Osasuna wins
10.82% ±6.7%
4.68 -49.4%
Draw
23.85% ±4.64%
4.05 -3.4%
Real Madrid wins
65.32% ±11.18%
1.69 +10.4%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Osasuna
Real Madrid

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Osasuna
Real Madrid
Shots 11.6 16.4
Shots On Target 3.9 7.0
Corners 3.3 6.8
Fouls 14.0 9.7
Yellow Cards 2.7 1.7
Red Cards 0.1 0.3

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Osasuna
Real Madrid
Shots 7.2 18.4
Shots On Target 2.0 6.7
Corners 3.1 6.9
Fouls 13.3 8.8
Yellow Cards 1.9 1.3
Red Cards 0.2 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Osasuna Wins

0

Draws

3

Real Madrid Wins

7
Date Result Score
19 Aug 2025 Real Madrid Win 1:0
15 Feb 2025 Draw 1:1
9 Nov 2024 Real Madrid Win 4:0
16 Mar 2024 Real Madrid Win 2:4
7 Oct 2023 Real Madrid Win 4:0

Osasuna - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
13 Feb 2026 Elche 0:0 D
6 Feb 2026 Celta 1:2 W
31 Jan 2026 Villarreal 2:2 D
24 Jan 2026 Vallecano 1:3 W
17 Jan 2026 Oviedo 3:2 W

Real Madrid - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
14 Feb 2026 Sociedad 4:1 W
8 Feb 2026 Valencia 0:2 W
1 Feb 2026 Vallecano 2:1 W
24 Jan 2026 Villarreal 0:2 W
17 Jan 2026 Levante 2:0 W