Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins |
49.69%
±14.74%
|
1.89 | -6.3% |
| Draw |
28.18%
±4.07%
|
3.83 | +7.8% |
| Monaco wins |
22.13%
±10.95%
|
3.75 | -17.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Marseille
Monaco
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Marseille
Monaco
Shots
14.7
12.8
Shots On Target
6.5
4.3
Corners
4.8
3.9
Fouls
11.3
13.0
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Marseille
Monaco
Shots
12.0
8.2
Shots On Target
4.0
4.3
Corners
5.3
3.1
Fouls
13.4
13.9
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Marseille Wins
4Draws
2Monaco Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | Monaco Win | 3:0 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Marseille Win | 2:1 |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Monaco Win | 3:2 |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | Lille | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Toulouse | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Nice | 1:5 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Brest | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Auxerre | 0:1 | W |
Monaco - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Dec 2025 | Brest | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Paris SG | 1:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Rennes | 4:1 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Lens | 1:4 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Paris FC | 0:1 | L |