Guimaraes vs Moreirense
Final Result
1:0
Guimaraes to win
Our Prediction
Correct
46.4%
Guimaraes to win
±14.8%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes wins |
46.38%
±14.84%
|
1.84 | -14.9% |
| Draw |
29.46%
±3.69%
|
3.30 | -2.8% |
| Moreirense wins |
24.16%
±11.48%
|
4.48 | +8.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Shots
13.0
9.4
Shots On Target
3.3
3.8
Corners
4.2
3.9
Fouls
15.4
13.2
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.1
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Shots
11.9
11.4
Shots On Target
4.1
3.8
Corners
6.2
4.9
Fouls
13.8
14.1
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Guimaraes Wins
5Draws
3Moreirense Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Moreirense Win | 2:0 |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 1:0 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 1:0 |
| 5 Nov 2023 | Moreirense Win | 1:0 |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Estoril | 4:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Porto | 0:1 | L |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Nacional | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 1:4 | L |
Moreirense - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 1:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Alverca | 2:1 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 1:0 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | AVS | 0:2 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Estrela | 0:0 | D |