Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins |
74.74%
±10.24%
|
1.21 | -9.2% |
| Draw |
18.22%
±5.6%
|
6.00 | +9.3% |
| Arouca wins |
7.03%
±4.72%
|
11.25 | -20.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Porto
Arouca
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Porto
Arouca
Shots
13.3
12.1
Shots On Target
4.5
4.7
Corners
6.0
4.5
Fouls
13.6
12.7
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Porto
Arouca
Shots
15.0
8.1
Shots On Target
5.1
2.1
Corners
5.6
3.1
Fouls
12.7
14.0
Yellow Cards
2.8
3.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Porto Wins
7Draws
1Arouca Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2025 | Porto Win | 0:4 |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Porto Win | 0:2 |
| 29 Sep 2024 | Porto Win | 4:0 |
| 12 Feb 2024 | Arouca Win | 3:2 |
| 3 Sep 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Porto - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Rio Ave | 1:0 | W |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Nacional | 0:1 | W |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:1 | D |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Casa Pia | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Gil Vicente | 3:0 | W |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Nacional | 3:0 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Casa Pia | 3:2 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Guimaraes | 3:2 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 0:3 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:2 | L |