Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins |
5.66%
±3.79%
|
10.25 | -41.9% |
| Draw |
20.58%
±5.04%
|
5.88 | +20.9% |
| Arsenal wins |
73.76%
±8.75%
|
1.28 | -5.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burnley
Arsenal
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Burnley
Arsenal
Shots
9.0
15.6
Shots On Target
3.7
4.5
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
3.2
7.5
Fouls
9.1
9.7
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.3
0.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burnley
Arsenal
Shots
11.1
15.9
Shots On Target
2.6
4.6
Corners
4.3
6.9
Fouls
9.4
8.7
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley Wins
1Draws
3Arsenal Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2024 | Arsenal Win | 0:5 |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Arsenal Win | 3:1 |
| 23 Jan 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Arsenal Win | 0:1 |
| 6 Mar 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Wolves | 2:3 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Leeds | 2:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Man City | 5:1 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 1:1 | D |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Crystal Palace | 1:0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Fulham | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | West Ham | 2:0 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Newcastle | 1:2 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Man City | 1:1 | D |