Watford vs Birmingham
Final Result
3:0
Watford to win
Our Prediction
Correct
36.8%
Watford to win
±14.2%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins |
36.77%
±14.17%
|
2.33 | -14.5% |
| Draw |
29.45%
±1.91%
|
3.33 | -2.1% |
| Birmingham wins |
33.78%
±13.08%
|
2.95 | -0.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Watford
Birmingham
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Watford
Birmingham
Shots
14.5
15.7
Shots On Target
5.1
4.4
Corners
5.1
5.6
Fouls
10.5
11.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Watford
Birmingham
Shots
11.3
12.3
Shots On Target
4.4
3.7
Corners
5.7
4.0
Fouls
11.7
12.9
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Watford Wins
5Draws
1Birmingham Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Dec 2025 | Birmingham Win | 2:1 |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Watford Win | 0:1 |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Watford Win | 2:0 |
| 14 Mar 2023 | Watford Win | 3:0 |
| 16 Aug 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 0:1 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 1:2 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Stoke | 1:0 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Wrexham | 2:2 | D |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 1:1 | D |
Birmingham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec 2025 | Southampton | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Derby | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 3:0 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Charlton | 1:1 | D |
| 9 Dec 2025 | QPR | 2:1 | L |