Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins |
6.42%
±4.44%
|
9.38 | -39.8% |
| Draw |
20.12%
±5.01%
|
5.88 | +18.2% |
| Sp Lisbon wins |
73.46%
±9.36%
|
1.26 | -7.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Tondela
Sp Lisbon
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Tondela
Sp Lisbon
Shots
11.7
18.6
Shots On Target
4.7
6.9
Corners
3.6
6.6
Fouls
13.3
12.1
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.1
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Tondela
Sp Lisbon
Shots
4.4
15.8
Shots On Target
1.6
7.6
Corners
3.0
5.4
Fouls
16.2
14.6
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Tondela Wins
0Draws
0Sp Lisbon Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2022 | Sp Lisbon Win | 1:3 |
| 28 Nov 2021 | Sp Lisbon Win | 2:0 |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:1 |
| 1 Nov 2020 | Sp Lisbon Win | 4:0 |
| 18 Jun 2020 | Sp Lisbon Win | 2:0 |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Rio Ave | 3:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:2 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Estrela | 0:0 | D |
| 12 Sep 2025 | Alverca | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Estoril | 2:2 | D |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Sp Braga | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Estoril | 0:1 | W |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Moreirense | 3:0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Famalicao | 1:2 | W |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Porto | 1:2 | L |