Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins |
48.07%
±14.65%
|
2.01 | -3.6% |
| Draw |
27.91%
±3.65%
|
3.35 | -6.5% |
| Millwall wins |
24.02%
±11.31%
|
3.65 | -12.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Watford
Millwall
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Watford
Millwall
Shots
14.2
13.8
Shots On Target
4.7
5.2
Corners
4.9
5.8
Fouls
10.0
12.8
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Watford
Millwall
Shots
12.4
11.3
Shots On Target
4.0
3.6
Corners
5.8
4.6
Fouls
12.0
12.2
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Watford Wins
2Draws
2Millwall Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2025 | Millwall Win | 1:0 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Millwall Win | 1:2 |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Watford Win | 2:3 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Millwall Win | 1:0 |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Birmingham | 3:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 0:1 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 1:2 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Stoke | 1:0 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Wrexham | 2:2 | D |
Millwall - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Swansea | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Southampton | 0:0 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Bristol City | 2:1 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Ipswich | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Blackburn | 2:0 | L |