Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vallecano wins |
45.95%
±14.5%
|
2.08 | -4.7% |
| Draw |
29.89%
±3.65%
|
3.15 | -5.9% |
| Alaves wins |
24.17%
±11.2%
|
3.90 | -5.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Vallecano
Alaves
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Vallecano
Alaves
Shots
12.4
11.4
Shots On Target
4.3
3.7
Corners
6.3
6.6
Fouls
13.8
16.3
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Vallecano
Alaves
Shots
17.0
10.6
Shots On Target
5.2
4.2
Corners
6.6
3.8
Fouls
10.8
14.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.6
Red Cards
0.4
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Vallecano Wins
4Draws
0Alaves Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2025 | Vallecano Win | 0:2 |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Vallecano Win | 1:0 |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Alaves Win | 1:0 |
| 15 Sep 2023 | Vallecano Win | 2:0 |
| 16 Apr 2022 | Alaves Win | 1:0 |
Vallecano - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Levante | 0:3 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Sociedad | 0:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Sevilla | 0:1 | L |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Ath Madrid | 3:2 | L |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Celta | 1:1 | D |
Alaves - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2025 | Valencia | 0:0 | D |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Elche | 3:1 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Mallorca | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Getafe | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Sevilla | 1:2 | L |