Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional wins |
14.41%
±8.49%
|
5.38 | -22.5% |
| Draw |
27.03%
±4.34%
|
4.27 | +15.3% |
| Sp Braga wins |
58.56%
±12.6%
|
1.53 | -10.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nacional
Sp Braga
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Nacional
Sp Braga
Shots
13.2
11.0
Shots On Target
4.3
5.2
Corners
3.8
4.9
Fouls
14.6
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.9
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nacional
Sp Braga
Shots
9.2
15.8
Shots On Target
2.8
4.8
Corners
3.8
5.6
Fouls
11.0
11.4
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nacional Wins
1Draws
0Sp Braga Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Nacional Win | 0:1 |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Sp Braga Win | 1:0 |
| 20 Sep 2024 | Sp Braga Win | 0:3 |
| 28 Feb 2021 | Sp Braga Win | 1:2 |
| 17 Oct 2020 | Sp Braga Win | 2:1 |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Arouca | 3:0 | L |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Porto | 0:1 | L |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Casa Pia | 0:0 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Rio Ave | 4:0 | W |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Guimaraes | 3:2 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | L |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Rio Ave | 3:0 | W |
| 2 Feb 2026 | AVS | 0:4 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Alverca | 5:0 | W |